Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 6.474334e-05 0.000078 0.000092 0.000108 0.000126 0.000146 0.000169
2025-03-09 4.467968e-05 0.000061 0.000079 0.000103 0.000130 0.000162 0.000200
2025-03-16 3.579527e-05 0.000053 0.000074 0.000102 0.000136 0.000176 0.000227
2025-03-23 2.888637e-05 0.000047 0.000070 0.000102 0.000142 0.000191 0.000254
2025-03-30 2.356747e-05 0.000042 0.000066 0.000101 0.000146 0.000203 0.000276
2025-04-06 1.866531e-05 0.000036 0.000061 0.000098 0.000147 0.000210 0.000294
2025-04-13 1.511458e-05 0.000032 0.000057 0.000096 0.000149 0.000219 0.000313
2025-04-20 1.137826e-05 0.000027 0.000052 0.000090 0.000146 0.000220 0.000322
2025-04-27 9.411965e-06 0.000024 0.000049 0.000090 0.000150 0.000230 0.000343
2025-05-04 7.973925e-06 0.000022 0.000048 0.000091 0.000155 0.000242 0.000366
2025-05-11 6.894025e-06 0.000021 0.000047 0.000092 0.000161 0.000256 0.000391
2025-05-18 5.866223e-06 0.000020 0.000046 0.000093 0.000166 0.000267 0.000414
2025-05-25 4.057066e-06 0.000016 0.000042 0.000089 0.000164 0.000272 0.000430
2025-06-01 2.676364e-06 0.000013 0.000037 0.000084 0.000162 0.000276 0.000445
2025-06-08 1.939107e-06 0.000012 0.000035 0.000084 0.000165 0.000287 0.000470
2025-06-15 1.408620e-06 0.000010 0.000034 0.000083 0.000170 0.000300 0.000498
2025-06-22 9.636052e-07 0.000009 0.000032 0.000082 0.000172 0.000310 0.000522
2025-06-29 5.873056e-07 0.000007 0.000029 0.000080 0.000172 0.000316 0.000540
2025-07-06 3.535227e-07 0.000006 0.000027 0.000078 0.000173 0.000324 0.000561
2025-07-13 1.544276e-07 0.000005 0.000024 0.000074 0.000169 0.000323 0.000569
2025-07-20 8.309811e-08 0.000004 0.000023 0.000073 0.000172 0.000334 0.000594
2025-07-27 4.480471e-08 0.000004 0.000023 0.000074 0.000177 0.000348 0.000623
2025-08-03 2.388219e-08 0.000003 0.000022 0.000075 0.000183 0.000363 0.000656